Commission for Basic Systems world map

Expert Team on Operational Prediction from Sub-seasonal

to Longer-time Scales

 

Beijing, China, 11-15 April 2016

 

 

 

DOCUMENTATION PLAN

25-Apr-2016

 

LOCAL INFORMATION

VISA FORM (URGENT!)

 

Agenda Item

AGENDA ITEMS

Subject

Doc. N°

Submitted by

Expected/Received

1

OPENING OF THE MEETING

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2

ORGANIZATION OF THE MEETING

 

 

 

2.1

Provisional Agenda

2.1(1)

Secretariat

22.III.2016

 

Explanatory memorandum to the provisional agenda

2.1(2)

Secretariat

22.III.2016

2.2

Working arrangements

 

 

 

 

Provisional list of participants

INF. 2

Secretariat

8.IV.2016

 

Template for the cover page of Working Documents

 

Secretariat

22.III.2016

 

Tentative Work Plan

INF. 3

 

 

3

INTRODUCTION

 

 

 

3.1

Review of WMO CBS and CCl decisions and developments relevant to ET-OPSLS

3.1

Secretariat

1.IV.2016

3.2

Status of the GPC network – new applications for designation

3.2

Secretariat

1.IV.2016

3.3

Status of the RCC network

3.3

Secretariat

7.IV.2016

3.4

Report back from the WMO Scoping Workshop on Establishing Polar Regional Climate Services and an Arctic Polar RCC

3.4

B. Denis

1.IV.2016

 

 

 

 

 

4

STATUS REPORTS FROM GPCs

 

 

 

4.1

Discussion of GPC reports on systems development and other activities

GPC Washington

GPC Seoul

GPC Tokyo

GPC Exeter

GPC Pretoria

GPC-CPTEC Brazil

GPC Melbourne

GPC Moscow

GPC ECMWF

GPC Beijing

GPC Toulouse

GPC Montreal

Doc-4.1 TEMPLATE

4.1


4.1(1)

4.1(2)

4.1(3)

4.1(4)

4.1(5)

4.1(6)

4.1(7)

4.1(8)

4.1(9)

4.1(10)

4.1(11)

4.1(12)

Each GPC

1.IV.2016

7.IV.2016

8.IV.2016

4.2

Review of GPC compliance

N/A

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

5

STATUS REPORTS: LEAD CENTRES AND GLOBAL SEASONAL CLIMATE UPDATE

 

 

 

5.1

Discussion of LC-LRFMME report on status and developments

5.1

S. Park

8.IV.2016

5.2

Discussion of LC-SVSLRF report on status and developments

5.2

D. Jones

11.IV.2016

5.3

Discussion of Global Seasonal Climate Update (GSCU): monitoring, forecasts and  verification

Annex I

Annex II

5.3

Secretariat

7.IV.2016

 

 

 

 

 

6

ET-OPSLS TASK TEAM ACTIVITIES: REPORT BACK AND FUTURE DIRECTIONS

 

 

 

6.1

Task Team 1: Workshops on Operational Climate Prediction

  • Report back from Pune workshop
  • Discussion of next workshop and theme
  • Current Activities and Priorities of WGSIP

 

 

6.1.1


6.1.2

6.1.3

 

 

R. Graham


R. Graham

B. Merryfield

1.IV.2016

6.2

Task Team 2: Verification of GPC seasonal products

  • Progress with centralized verification 
  • Discussion of next steps, including division of roles between LC-LRFMME and LC-SVSLRF

 


6.2.1


6.2.2

 


A. Kumar


S. Park

1.IV.2016


7.IV.2016

6.3

Task Team 3: Development of sub-seasonal forecasts

  • Review of real-time products from the LC-LRFMME pilot
  • Discussion of next steps, including schedule for release to NMHSs and RCCs
  • Update on the WWRP-THORPEX/WCRP S2S research project
  • Discussion of questionnaire results on subseasonal verification practices in operational centres
  • S2S Sub-project Application-oriented activities

 

 

6.3.1

 

N/A

 

6.3.3

 

6.3.4

 

6.3.5

 

 

S. Park

 

 

 

A. Kumar

 

C. Coelho &
Y. Takaya

 

1.IV.2016

 

 

 

 

 

7.IV.2016

 

7.IV.2016

6.4

Task Team 4: Development of multi-annual to decadal forecasts

  • Discussion of updated proposal on establishing a Lead Centre for Near Term Climate Prediction (LC-NTCP)

 

 

6.4

 

 

R. Graham
D. Smith
A. Scaife

 

 

8.IV.2016

6.5

Task Team 5: New Approaches for distribution of GPC hindcast and forecast data 

  • Review and discussion of questionnaire results and next steps

 

 

 

6.5.1

 

 

 

D. Jones

 

 

 

1.IV.2016

6.6

Task Team 6: Manual on Procedures for generating regional seasonal forecasts

6.6

A. Kumar

7.IV.2016

6.7

Task Team 7: Amendments to GPC-relevant sections of the Manual of GDPFS

II_2_1_5_a-S_LR_NWP_MIN_P_Mar2015

II_2_1_5_b-S_LR_NWP_MIN_I_Mar2015

II_2_1_5_c-S_LR_NWP_ADD_Mar2015

II_2_1_5-S_LR_NWP_Mar2015

II_2_2_3_a-CLIM_FCN_M_Mar2015

II_2_2_3_b-CLIM_FCN_R

II_2_2_3_x-CLIM_GUIDE_Mar2015

II_2_2_3-CLIM_Mar2015

II_2_2_4_a-MMELRF_MIN_P_Mar2015

II_2_2_4_b-MMELRF_ADD_P_Mar2015

II_2_2_4_c-MMELRF_GPC_Mar2015

II_2_2_4-MMELRF_Mar2015

II_2_3_3_a-STD_VERIF_LRF_Mar2015

II_2_3_3-COOR_VERIF_LRF_Mar2015

 

6.7

Chairperson and Secretariat

1.IV.2016

 

 

 

 

 

7

STATEMENT OF GUIDANCE FOR SUB-SEASONAL TO LONGER TIME SCALE PREDICTIONS

7

Y. Takaya

1.IV.2016

 

 

 

 

 

8

GPC POTENTIAL FUTURE ACTIVITES

 

 

 

8.1

Potential new GPC Products (mandatory or highly recommended)

N/A

 

 

8.2

Potential new verification/validation diagnostics (ENSO composites)

N/A

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

9

ET-OPSLS RESPONSE TO Cg-17 Resolution 11: “TOWARDS A FUTURE ENHANCED, INTEGRATED AND SEAMLESS DATA-PROCESSING AND FORECASTING SYSTEM”

9

Secretariat

1.IV.2016

 

 

 

 

 

10

REVIEW OF THE ET-OPSLS TERMS OF REFERENCE

10

Secretariat

1.IV.2016

 

 

 

 

 

11

ANY OTHER BUSINESS (AOB)

N/A

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

12

CLOSING

N/A

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 





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