WORLD METEOROLOGICAL ORGANIZATION 
COMMISSION FOR BASIC SYSTEMS - OPAG DPFS

MEETING OF EXPERT TEAM ON EXTENDED AND LONG-RANGE FORECASTING

 

BEIJING, CHINA, 7-10 APRIL 2008

 

CBS-OPAG/DPFS/

ET-ELRF/Inf. (1)

 (2.IV.2008)

_______

 ENGLISH ONLY


Local Information from Host Organisers (including Hotel and transport facilities)

Tentative Schedule

For reference:
Terms of reference of the Team
Report of ET/LRF ECMWF, April 2006
Report of Workshop LC-LRFMME Busan, September 2007

Report of CCl-CBS Intercommission Technical Meeting on Designation of Regional Climate Centres (RCCs) Geneva,  21-22 January 2008


PROVISIONAL DOCUMENTS PLAN (Note: Documents in bold are done)

Item

Title

Document no.

Author

1.

OPENING OF THE MEETING

 

 

2.

ORGANIZATION OF THE MEETING

 

 

2.1

Adoption of the agenda
Explanatory memorandum

Doc. 2.1(1)
Doc. 2.1(2)

Secretariat
Secretariat

2.2

Other organizational questions

 

 

3.

EXCHANGE OF LONG-RANGE FORECASTS (LRF)

 

 

3.1

Exchange of products

Doc. 3.1(1)

Secretariat

3.2

Recognition of GPCs

Doc. 3.2(1)

Secretariat

 

 

Doc. 3.2(2)

Dr Vladimir KRYZHOV

 

 

Doc. 3.2(3)

Dr Willem LANDMAN

3.3

Status, development, specific needs of GPCs

Doc. 3.3(n)

Any contributor?

3.3.1

Observation needs

Doc. 3.3.1(1)

Dr Laura Ferranti

4.

MULTI-MODEL ENSEMBLE LRF (MME LRF)

 

 

4.1

Conclusions and recommendations of the last Workshop on Lead Centre for LRF MME (LC-LRFMME) in Busan in September 2007

Doc. 4.1(1)

Doc. 4.1(2)

Secretariat

Dr Richard GRAHAM

4.2

Reports on the status of development of the LC-LRFMME

Doc. 4.2(1)
Doc. 4.2(2)

Dr Won-Tae YUN
Dr Arun KUMAR

4.3

Defining new standard products and formats, model output, forecast skill

 

 

4.4

Defining terms and conditions for exchange

 

 

4.5

Proposals for inclusion of role of GPCs and Lead-Centre for MME LRF in WMO Manual on GDPFS (recommendations to CBS).

Doc. 4.5(1)

Secretariat

5.

REGIONAL CLIMATE CENTRES (RCCs)

 

 

5.1

Information on planned activities and services of Centres considering recognition as future RCCs, including relations with GPCs

Doc. 5.1(1)
Doc. 5.1(2)
Doc. 5.1(3)
Doc. 5.1(n)

Beijing Representative
Mr Takayuki TOKUHIRO

Dr D.S. PAI,
New-Delhi
Others?

5.1.1

Needs of RCCs from GPCs and NMHSs

Doc. 5.1.1(1)
Doc. 5.1.1(n)

Secretariat

Others?

5.2

Proposals for minimum set of functions and services required of RCCs and updates to the Manual on the GDPFS (Volume I) for official designation of RCCs.

Doc. 5.2(1)

Secretariat

6.

EXTENDED RANGE FORECASTS (ERF)

 

 

 

Status and specific needs related to ERF for products exchange or services

Doc. 6(1)
Doc. 6(2)

Dr Laura FERRANTI
Dr Richard GRAHAM

7.

VERIFICATION SYSTEMS FOR ERF AND LRF

 

 

7.1

Need for specific scores for ERF

Doc. 7.1(1)
Doc. 7.1(n)

Dr Laura FERRANTI
Others?

7.2

Need for improvement of the Standard Verification System for LRF especially in developing areas such as multi-model ensembles

Doc. 7.2(0)
Doc. 7.2(1)
Doc. 7.2(2)

Secretariat
Dr Won-Tae YUN
Dr Simon MASON

7.3

Provision of ERF and LRF verification scores and related information for use by NMHSs and RCCs

 

 

 

To monitor and compare numerical model forecasts of the Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO)

Doc. 7.3(1) pdf

Secretariat (coming from WGNE) pdf file

7.4

Status of Lead Centre for SVS LRF

Doc. 7.4(1)

Mr Normand GAGNON and Dr David JONES

7.5

Adjustments, if necessary of the tasks of the LC-SVSLRF, in the view of ERF and MME