Verification summary based on national reports and contributions of the participants of SEECOF-3 on-line forum
| Country |
Seasonal temperature (DJF) |
Seasonal precipitations
(DJF) |
High Impact Events |
| Observed |
SEECOF2
outlook |
Observed |
SEECOF2
outlook |
| Albania (1) |
Above normal |
Above normal |
Above normal |
Not reliable forecast |
At the beginning of January larger flooding downstream of the Drini River.
Severe river flooding in February in the northern part of Albania. |
| Armenia (1) |
Above
normal |
Above normal |
It is difficult to evaluate. Within normal range in eastern parts; in some regions above normal. |
Not reliable forecast |
Winter 2009-2010 in Armenia was extremely warm, it was ranked as the third extremely warm winter during the whole period of observations. |
Azerbaijan Republic
(5) |
Above
and near
normal |
Above normal |
There is no estimation for winter season precipitation. |
Not reliable forecast |
At the end of January and in the first decade of February, cold and wet period with snow, heavy rain and strong wind. |
Bosnia
&
Herzegovina |
|
Above normal |
|
Above normal |
|
Bulgaria
(1) |
Within
normal
range |
Above normal |
Above normal to normal |
Not reliable forecast |
No comments for high impact events. |
Croatia
(1) |
Within
normal
range |
Above normal |
In the whole country above normal. In the northern part above normal (wet), in the Adriatic area considerably above normal (very wet), in mountainous region extremely wet. |
Slightly above normal |
Flood events in mountainous part of Lika and Gorski kotar area. Deep snow conditions in the whole continental and mountainous part of the country. |
Cyprus
(1) |
Above
normal |
Above normal |
Considerably above normal |
Not reliable forecast |
On 16 December heavy rain, hail associated with strong wind affected all areas resulting in uprooted trees and house damages.
On 18 January intense rainfall was recorded over inland area causing severe problems.
On 31 January tornado was recorded in southern coastal region causing local damages.
On 27 February heavy rainfall accompanied in some cases with strong wind, lightning and thunders. In region of Troodos mountainous tornado was recorded. |
Georgia
(3) |
Above
normal |
Above normal |
There is no estimation for winter season precipitation |
Not reliable forecast |
On 15 December in the most regions of East Georgia whirlwind made damage to the population.
On 22 February heavy precipitation with strong wind was observed damaging several buildings. |
Greece
(5) |
Above
normal
(0.5 to
0ºC) |
Above normal |
Some positive anomaly in the central and north-eastern Greece, not firm assessment. |
Not reliable forecast |
Warmest December in the last 10 years.
Extremely hot on New Year’s day with maximum temperatures in several parts of the central-south Greece were close to corresponding highest values recorded in the last 50 years.
On January 17-18 heavy rainfall and thunderstorms were observed mainly in Crete causing flash floods. |
Hungary
(1) |
Above
normal |
Above normal |
More than normal. |
Above normal |
The country-wide mean temperature on 20 December was the lowest, only -10.9°C, and its maximum, 11.5°C, occurred 5 days later. In the warming period some daily records were surpassed: we registered 18.5°C on 23th, 21.8°C on 25th and 18.3°C on 26th as daily maximum temperature. All these three values were measured at the station Sellye. During the high temperature range potholes formed on the roads, which made the traffic more difficult. The large amount of snow of mid- December melted away rapidly in the unusually robust warming. It caused flooding on northern Hungarian rivers. |
Israel
(4) |
Above
normal |
Above normal |
Within normal range |
Not reliable forecast |
Winter was the hottest one since the beginning of the history of measurements.
Heat wave during February. In many stations, measured temperature was the second or the third highest registered for this month. The duration of hot days sequence was the longest registered ever since the beginning of the measurements.
Severe Flooding Event in southern Israel happened between 17 and 21 January. The rain was exceptional both in the amounts measured in different stations as well as in its extent. |
FYR of Macedonia
(1,2) |
Above
normal |
Above normal |
Above normal |
Not reliable forecast |
No comments for high impact events. |
Republic of Moldova
(3) |
Below
normal |
Above normal |
Above normal |
In southern-western parts of the country - above normal; in other parts forecast is not reliable. |
The absolute minimum of the air temperature for the season on the territory was -31,0ºC (January, MS Balti), that occurs in average once in 25 years.
The third decade of January was the coldest, the average air temperature was -10°С and -15°С, that is 6,5 – 10,5°С below normal, and in winter time, it occurs in average once in 5 – 7 years.
The amount of precipitation for the season on the territory was mainly 170 - 260 mm (or 180-280% of the norm), that occurs in average once in 20-30 years.
Between 22 and 28 January the entire territory of the Republic Moldova had very cold weather. Low temperatures created critical conditions for overwintering of the major crops and damages. |
Montenegro
(1) |
Above
normal;
In the NE
parts
conside-
rably
above
normal |
Above normal |
Above normal |
Not reliable forecast |
Heavy rainfall in December 2009 and January 2010 caused floods in southern part, i.e. surroundings of the Skadar Lake and the river Bojana
February 2010:
- high intensity of rainfall in the beginning of the month, therefore within 10 days the rainfall amount was from 60% to 80% of total average precipitation in this month. For example the rainfall on Zabljak within 14 days was + 7% higher than average for whole month.
-intensive cold wave from North Europe affected Montenegro. From 10th to 16th February temperature was considerably below the average in the whole State for this part of the year. As the consequences – several days with T below 00C in the northern part and with the weak snowfall. In the northern part very cold with strong NE wind up to 50 km/h of wind gust.
|
| Romania |
|
Above normal |
|
In northern-northeastern parts of the country above normal. |
|
Slovenia
(1) |
Above
normal |
Above normal |
Above normal |
Above normal |
No comments for high impact events in English language |
Serbia
(1) |
N and E
parts
within
normal
range;
central
parts -
in the
category
of hot;
SE parts
in the
category
of very hot
and
extremely
hot. |
Above normal |
In southern and southwestern parts of Serbia wet, in major parts very wet. |
In major parts of Serbia above normal,
in southern parts not reliable forecast. |
It was extremely wet in river basins of the Timok and Great Morava
In eastern Serbia, the highest water levels in the history of the observation were observed at the end of December and between 20 to 22 February and they caused flooding and jeopardizing of people and material goods. Floods with damage to agricultural soil also occurred in western Serbia.
In Belgrade, on 25 February 2010, the previous February daily precipitation maximum of measured 39.1 mm was surpassed |
Turkey
(2) |
Above
normal |
Above normal |
Above normal |
Not reliable forecast |
In most parts of Turkey - the third warmest winter season on record. |
Notes:
|
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|
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| 1 - Basic climatological period (1961-1990) |
|
|
| 2 - Basic climatological period (1971-2000) |
|
|
| 3 - Basic climatological period (1951-2000) |
|
|
| 4 - Basic climatological period (1981-2000) |
|
|
| 5 – No information about basic climatological period |
|
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