DPFS_Manual_Appendix-I-4
DEFINITIONS OF METEOROLOGICAL FORECASTING RANGES
1. |
Nowcasting | A description of current weather parameters and 0 to 2 hours’ description of forecasted weather parameters |
2. | Very short-range weather forecasting | Up to 12 hours’ description of weather parameters |
3. | Short-range weather forecasting | Beyond 12 hours’ and up to 72 hours’ description of weather parameters |
4. | Medium-range weather forecasting | Beyond 72 hours’ and up to 240 hours’ description of weather parameters |
5. | Extended-range weather forecasting | Beyond 10 days’ and up to 30 days’ description of weather parameters, usually averaged and expressed as a departure from climate values for that period |
6. | Long-range weather forecasting 6.1 Montly outlook 6.2 Three-month or 90-day outlook 6.3 Seasonal outlook |
From 30 days up to two years Description of averaged weather parameters expressed as a departure (deviation, variation, anomaly) from climate values for that month (not necessarily the coming month) Description of averaged weather parameters expressed as a departure from climate values for that 90-day period (not necessarily the coming 90-day period) Description of averaged weather parameters expressed as a departure from climate values for that season |
NOTES:
(1) In some countries, long-range forecasts are considered to be climate products.
(2) Season has been loosely defined as December/January/February = Winter; March/April/May = Spring; etc. ... in the northern hemisphere. In the tropical areas seasons may have different durations. Outlooks spanning several months such as multi-seasonal outlooks or tropical rainy season outlooks may be provided.
(1) In some countries, long-range forecasts are considered to be climate products.
(2) Season has been loosely defined as December/January/February = Winter; March/April/May = Spring; etc. ... in the northern hemisphere. In the tropical areas seasons may have different durations. Outlooks spanning several months such as multi-seasonal outlooks or tropical rainy season outlooks may be provided.
7. | Climate forecasting 7.1 Climate variability prediction 7.2 Climate prediction |
Beyond two years Description of the expected climate parameters associated with the variation of interannual, decadal and multi-decadal climate anomalies Description of expected future climate including the effects of both natural and human influences |